Israeli Defense Ministry Acknowledges Defeat
Iranian Shahab-3 Recognized as Strategic Threat
New in the Website
With the regularity of a nuclear clock, Western countries issue warnings against Iran, claiming that if this country will continue its nuclear program it would be ruthlessly attacked. Oddly enough, the same request is not issued towards the USA, which in 1945 used nuclear weapons against civilians, becoming the main nuclear aggressor in the world (as well as a major transgressor of the Geneva Conventions and other binding international treaties).
On September 28, 2011, French Ambassador to the United Nations Gerard Araud warned of a strong risk of a military strike on Iran if it proceeds on the path to nuclear proliferation. "If we don't succeed today to reach a negotiation with the Iranians, there is a strong risk of military action," AFP quoted the French envoy as saying in a New York panel discussion. Araud added that he is convinced "some countries won't accept the prospect" of the Islamic Republic reaching the threshold of nuclear armament. Then, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov called on Iran to take a first step and "freeze the production of centrifuges," saying that such a step would prevent fresh sanctions against it.
On October 3, in his first visit to Israel as United States Defense Secretary, Leon Panetta met Israel Defense Minister – Ehud Barak. It was published they discussed Iran’s nuclear program and Israel’s regional security environment. Panetta said Iran should cease developing its nuclear program and funding terror groups in order to enter into the international community. As usual there were no substantial details on planned actions by these close allies.
Those who follow this website for a while, know that since 2009 I’m saying Israel won’t attack Iran, despite all the recurring reports claiming otherwise. Simply, Israel is too weak. However, it may attempt to wag the dog by forcing the USA into such a war. Now it even looks that -encouraged by the Libyan massacre in which his army took a leading role - French president Sarkozy may be willing to cooperate in an attack on Tehran. “Sarkozy the Great, Sarkozy the Great” he mumbles every day while shaving and planning his conquests eastwards.
Finding a comment on Israel impossibility to defeat Iran in an interview given by Major General Amos Gilad, head of the Israeli Defense Ministry's Diplomatic-Security Bureau, would be unthinkable. It would leave Israel with no deterrence towards its enemies; yet, that’s exactly what happened today (October 28) in an “Friday’s Cathedra” event in Ashkelon. It was later cited by Yedihot Ahahronot, the largest Hebrew newspaper.
Gilad said that Netanyahu was the first to hear about a prediction of the Israeli intelligence services that Iran has decided to pursue the path of missiles and nuclear technologies development. He added that Netanyahu sees that as a “great threat,” and that this view is shared by Defense Minister Ehud Barak. Apparently, both support an attack on Iran. Yet, Nahum Barnea – a leading journalist of Yedihot Ahahronot - said this Friday that the IDF Head of Staff Beni Gantz, Mossad Director Tamir Pardo, Head of Aman (IDF Military Intelligence Corps) Aviv Cochabi and the Head of Shin Beth Yoram Cohen – in other words, Israel’s leading generals - oppose an attack on Iran. In the past Meir Dagan – Pardo’s predecessor as Mossad Director – defined such an attack as a “foolish idea.”
Gilad made then a very clear allusion to the Shahab-3, a MRBM (medium-range ballistic missile) developed by Iran. Depending on the model it can reach between 1280 and 1930 kilometers, defining every spot of Israel as a possible target. Each missile contains five warheads, each one capable of targeting a different objective. The Shahab-3B's survivability against ABM (anti-ballistic missiles) systems such as Israel's Arrow 2 missile is good, and it can provide precision attacks. Theoretically, it can be loaded with nuclear heads. The flying time from Iran to Israel would be less than 10 minutes. Gilad claimed Iran has the possibility to produce hundreds of this type of missiles, though he didn’t provide more accurate information. Thus, Israel cannot prevent the attack of high value targets such as command, control and communications centers; a massive missiles attack by Iran may collapse the Israeli Administration in a matter of hours. Following Gilad’s talk, this is official. “There is no nuclear threat right now,” he concluded this part of his talk in a sad attempt to give an upbeat tone to a lost cause.
Then he threw a bomb on the listeners: “they have the enriched uranium, they have the knowledge but they do not produce them [nuclear warheads].” “…this is a major threat on the state [of Israel]. If they will accomplish that, it would be a major revolution.” General Gilad said Iran has the knowledge to enrich uranium to the degree needed for nuclear weapons. Now the Russian remark on the centrifuges becomes clear, especially since this is a step that requires relatively simple installations. In Israel, this stage has been developed by Prof Uzi Even, from Tel Aviv University, an odd member of Meretz, a Jewish leftist party.
One of the listeners asked then when will Iran produce nuclear warheads. “At the moment they decide to change the balance of power,” was the concise answer. Major General Gilad had just acknowledged defeat. Israel’s final countdown is on.
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